Much has been made of the fact that the Atlanta Hawks re-signed Kyle Korver to a 4-year deal worth $24 million. Some say he wasn’t worth it, and others have said it was a great deal (I personally think it was a great move). The Hawks were 4th in the league in three-pointers made last season, and Korver was a huge part of that. When you look at the remade Hawks, their new head coach Mike Budenholzer will run a system similar to what his former team, the Spurs, run. So will Korver be worth his 6 million dollars?
The player whose role will most mirror Korver’s on the Spurs is Danny Green. Green’s journey has already been documented, and in the Finals, he had a coming out party with setting the record for most 3 pointers in a Finals. Now, this is all speculation as we haven’t seen anything on the court yet, but when you compare their numbers, Korver is seemingly poised for a career year. The Spurs got most of their shots (21%) off of spot ups, and as a result, so did Danny Green’s(42.7%). Green ranked 17th in the league in spot ups with 1.26 points per possession. Also, he shot 46.6% from 3 point in those situations. Now, by comparison, Korver was 5th in the league in spot up offense, scoring 1.34 points per possession. He shot 48% from 3 on spot ups as well. So, it seems as if Korver will be getting most of his attempts as spot ups this season, and he clearly is one of the best in the league.
Now, with context, most of the Hawks’ offense also came from spot ups as well(20%), but they were 12th in the league at .98 points per possession, and 37.6% from 3. The Spurs, by comparison, were 4th in the league in spot ups, with 1.05 points per possession, and shot 40% from 3. The Spurs are so pick and roll heavy, so that means that their spot ups came off of making extra passes, and in their system, the bigs do a lot more passing than most.
So, if you break down numbers between the Hawks and Spurs, it shows that Korver could have one of the best seasons of his career. He averaged 10.9 points last season, and shot 45.7% from 3. Once again, this is all speculation, and these players aren’t identical, but all we have right now is comparisons to the Spurs for reference. Once the season actually gets started, then we will see how Bud’s system may differ from the Spurs. Either way, watch for Korver to be a big part of offense, as they will have to respect him with the ball movement in the pick and roll.
Stats provided by Synergy