Taking a look at the Atlanta Hawks’ current lottery odds.
After a very, very rough start to the season, the Atlanta Hawks have improved a bit of late, going 9-10 in their last 19.
They’ve moved out of the bottom three worst records, and as they currently sit at 17-42, they carry the 4th best odds to win the #1 pick. Gold State, Cleveland and Minnesota all are under Atlanta at the time of writing (2/25).
That gives the Hawks a 12.5 percent chance of winning the Lottery, with a complete range of 1-8. If they finish the year in that spot, they’ll be most likely to end up with the sixth pick, with a 25.7 percent chance of landing there.
Atlanta may continue to move up the board however, as they have the weakest remaining schedule according to Tankathon. That, along with the Hawks finally being healthy and playing good basketball could move them more in the 5-10 range in terms of odds.
They have a few key matchups down the stretch that could directly affect the Lottery. The Warriors, Knicks, Hornets (three times), Cavs (twice) and Pistons all play Atlanta again, with their final game of the season being against Cleveland.
Atlanta doesn’t play a team above .500 until March 18th, going ten straight against lesser talent.
With the new odds for the Lottery starting last year, it’s not entirely bad for the Hawks to move up the standings. New Orleans won the first overall pick last season after winning 33 games, having just a six percent chance of winning. The Hawks got the 8th pick despite having the fifth best odds.
The top of this year’s draft is pretty deep, with LaMelo Ball, Anthony Edwards, James Wiseman and Cole Anthony headlining. More under-the-radar players like Deni Advija, Tyrese Haliburton, and Onyeka Okongwu, among others could prove being worth the top-ten pick they’re projected to be.
The Hawks will play the first of their final 23 games on Wednesday in Atlanta, taking on the Orlando Magic.