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Best NBA prop bets today for Timberwolves vs. Hawks (Jalen Johnson stays hot)

By Peter Dewey

Oct 25, 2023; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Atlanta Hawks forward Jalen Johnson (1) drives to the basket against Charlotte Hornets forward JT Thor during the first quarter at Spectrum Center. Mandatory Credit: Nell Redmond-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 25, 2023; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Atlanta Hawks forward Jalen Johnson (1) drives to the basket against Charlotte Hornets forward JT Thor during the first quarter at Spectrum Center. Mandatory Credit: Nell Redmond-USA TODAY Sports /
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The Atlanta Hawks made a statement on Sunday night, blowing out the Milwaukee Bucks for their first win of the 2023-24 season.

Now, Atlanta has to play the second game of a back-to-back against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday. This is a tough turnaround, but the Hawks are expected to have most of their rotation active for this game.

With that in mind, how should we wager on the prop market in this game? There are plenty of stars on both sides from Anthony Edwards to Trae Young to Dejounte Murray and Karl-Anthony Towns.

I have three prop plays that I’m considering for this matchup between two up-and-coming teams in the NBA.

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Timberwolves vs. Hawks best NBA prop bets today

  • Jalen Johnson OVER 20.5 points, rebounds and assists
  • Dejounte Murray UNDER 1.5 3-pointers made
  • Karl-Anthony Towns OVER 8.5 rebounds

Jalen Johnson OVER 20.5 points, rebounds and assists

Jalen Johnson has made Hawks fans forget about John Collins, who was traded to Utah this offseason, as he’s looked great through three games.

Not only has Johnson cleared this prop line in each of those games, but he’s averaging 15.3 points, 7.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game while shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc. The Hawks need him to stretch the floor, and he answered the challenge.

Atlanta is No. 4 in the league in pace, so I expect the team to push things against the Wolves to attempt to get some easy baskets. If that works, Johnson should record plenty of stats to clear this line.

Dejounte Murray UNDER 1.5 3-pointers made

Dejounte Murray made his first shot from beyond the arc of the season last night, but he’s still just 1-for-11 from 3 this season.

Murray may shy away from launching from deep until he starts hitting at a higher rate, as the team has other players who can score the ball from outside. I’ll fade him from hitting multiple shots from deep in this game.

Karl-Anthony Towns OVER 8.5 rebounds

If you’re going to bet on a Timberwolves player – Towns is the guy.

Through two games this season, KAT has 10 boards in each matchup, yet he’s set at just 8.5 rebounds for this game.

There are multiple reasons why I like this prop.

First off, the Wolves are No. 4 in the NBA in rebounding percentage this season, so they’re clearing the glass at a high rate. Secondly, Atlanta plays at the No. 4 pace. More possessions means more shots, which means more opportunities for rebounds.

At plus money, KAT is a great bet to go OVER this number.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey’s NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.

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